This week has been hard on CFB. Fifteen games were either postponed or flat out cancelled because of COVID-19 outbreaks on teams. Naturaly, the gambling slate is going to be a little bit thinner this week. Nevertheless, we shall pevail! Just because we lost fifteen games this week does not mean we will stop risking our financial future on the outcome of games being played by 18-22 year old college students! Here is this weeks gambling preview.
SPREAD
#2 Notre Dame vs Boston College (+11.5)
A recurring theme in recent Notre Dame history is their inability to get up for big games. It seems that narrative ended after last week's double overtime win against Clemson. Congrats to Notre Dame. A big win against the #1 team in the country should be celebrated. Notre Dame fans, I'd like to introduce you to the "big win hangover" complex. I know it's been a long time since you've been here so here's a quick refresher. When a team has a big win and plays a lower quality team the next week, it's understandable that the energy may not be at the same level as the week prior. BEWARE OF BOSTON COLLEGE! This is a team that is lead by Phil Jurkovec, a former ND quarterback, and gave Clemson their toughest game of the past two years, sans last year's national championship game. Expect BC to keep it close and, who know, maybe they even pull the upset with #2 ND coming to Boston.
#23 Northwestern (-3) vs Purdue
This year has been weird for multiple reasons. Not only because of the coronavirus and the presidential election, but because the Northwestern WIldcats are FUN to watch. The defense is playing out of its mind and I feel like I talk about the offense doing a 180 from last year almost every week. Purde at home is nothing to look past though. There's just something about playing a game under the lights in Lafayette, IN that motivates the Boilermakers. I expect Pat Fizgerald to take advantage of stud Purdue WR Rondale Moore being out and covering the -3 spread isn't a tall ask in my opinion.
#13 Wisconsin (-6.5) vs Michigan
This game could go two ways.
1) Graham Mertz is cleared to play after being in COVID protocall and Wisconsin plays a complete game to beat Michigan by multiple scores.
2) Graham Mertz is NOT cleared to play and remains in COVID protocall and Wisconsin reverts back to the run game and beats Michigan in a close game.
Regardless, it would take a drastic shift in the way Michigan plays football for them to win this game, even with Wisconsin being sidelined for the past two week.
OVER/UNDER
Oregon State vs Washington - Over 51
My reasoning here is that the Oregon State offense showed some interesting concepts in last week's loss to Washington State. If they can build upon that and Washington can recreate their offense from last year, the over isn't too out of the picture.
TEASER OF THE WEEK - 6.5 POINTS
#20 USC (-8) vs Arizona
Oregon State vs Washington (-7.5)
South Carolina vs Ole Miss (-7)
1) USC had a thrilling ending to their game against Arizona State last week. It seemed like Kedon Slovis got his rust out of the way in the first half. Arizona is just flat out bad. I have no faith in Kevin Sumlin. USC by two or more scores comfortably.
2) The one thing we can be confident in the transition from Chris Peterson to Jimmy Lake is the defense. While I think points will be scored, I also think the Washington defense will make the stops necessary to win the game. That half point may come back to bite me but I have confidence in the Huskies.
3) Unfortunatly for WIll Muschamp, this might be the game that is the nail in the coffin. Lane Kiffin's offense will score whenever they want and the South Carolina offense isn't designed to compete in a shootout.
"THE NAPKIN"
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